Powerscourt

By Powerscourt on 14/11/2020

Powerscourt Coronavirus Briefing – 14 November 2020

ANALYSIS

Despite positive news on the development of a vaccine, the second wave of infection continues to gather momentum globally. The U.S. broke a record in daily cases, 170,000 on Friday, with deaths also surging to 2,238, the highest in almost five months. The surge in infections has now spread to 49 states, with seven-day average cases in New York up 72 per cent in the past week. President Donald Trump declared that he would not issue nationwide lockdown orders. President-elect Joe Biden has pledged to make controlling the virus a top priority and is likely to push for mask wearing mandates and more fiscal stimulus.

In the U.K., infections continue to rise, though at a slower rate than previous weeks. The R rate is between 1.0 and 1.2 across the U.K., lower than last week’s estimate of 1.1-1.3. The latest figures offer some hope that the most stringent restrictions can be eased for Christmas.

Markets appear far more positive, with British shares having their best week in seven months. The FTSE 100 climbed by 6.9 per cent this week and the FTSE 250 gained 7.6 per cent, their best performance since April. US stocks reached a record high on Friday and have rallied just under 10 per cent since the start of November.

Central bank chiefs appear optimistic also, though they have made it clear that now is not the time for policymakers to relax their guard. Jay Powell, chair of the US Federal Reserve, said that “significant challenges and uncertainties” remained, especially in how effective the vaccine might be and how it will be distributed. Christine Lagarde, president of the ECB, welcomed the vaccine news but with a reminder that unforeseen events such as the Danish mink crisis could derail the policy response. Andrew Bailey, Bank of England governor, was also cautiously optimistic saying that any post-pandemic restructurings would probably be less severe than those of the 1980s or 1990s.

New data showed that more than 80 per cent of EU job losses in the second quarter were temporary workers, revealing how those employees have been disproportionately hit hard by the crisis. In the three months to June, there were 2.3m fewer temporary workers than in the last quarter of 2019.

Difficulties in distribution, and growing concern over inequal access to vaccines, were highlighted by an alliance backed by the World Health Organization, which raised more than $2bn for poor countries to access 1bn doses of Covid-19 vaccines, amid rising concerns rich nations will be first in line for immunisation. However, the Gavi alliance warned that a further $5bn would be needed next year to vaccinate key workers and vulnerable people in the 92 low and middle-income countries.

 

WHAT ARE COMPANIES SAYING?

 

Consumer & Retail

ASOS PLC
Nicholas Robertson, the director of British online fashion and cosmetic retailer Asos, has disposed of £13.6m-worth of shares in the company, a few weeks after the fast-fashion retailer revealed that it had more than quadrupled its pre-tax profits over its latest financial year. Asos shares have marched a steep ascent this year in step with a surge in online clothes shopping, as coronavirus restrictions have limited shoppers’ ability and willingness to visit clothes outlets. The virus has prompted an apparently permanent shift in consumer attitudes, with nearly half of UK shoppers expected to buy most of their clothes online in the future, according to a Ernst & Young survey published last month. This has translated into booming pre-tax profits for Asos, jumping to £142m over its 12 months to August 31, compared with £33m at the same point last year. Retail sales rose by nearly a fifth to £3.17bn, and Asos said that it had started its current financial year in a solid position.

 

TMT

Uber Technologies Inc
Ride-sharing company Uber is in talks to sell its autonomous driving unit, Uber Advanced Technologies Group (ATG), to self-driving car startup Aurora, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters. Uber has been seeking options for its autonomous vehicle divisions, a heavy cash burn machine, including seeking more outside investment, as Chief Executive Officer Dara Khosrowshahi refocused on core businesses including ride-hailing and food delivery since the pandemic hit. The talks are still ongoing and there is no certainty a deal could be reached, the source said, adding that Uber is also considering taking stake in the new company if Aurora takes over ATG. Uber’s ATG, which works to develop autonomous driving technology, counts Toyota Motor Corp 7203.T and SoftBank Group Corp 9984.T among its investors. Earlier last year, the unit had raised $1 billion (758 million pounds) from a consortium of investors including SoftBank, that valued it at $7.25 billion.

 

 

IN THE NEWS

Vaccine hopes drive FTSE to best week since April – THE TIMES

UK coronavirus growth continues to slow, new studies show – FINANCIAL TIMES

Russian and North Korean hackers have penetrated Covid-19 vaccine companies, Microsoft says – THE TELEGRAPH




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